U.S. military bases were attacked by Iran on January 9, but U.S. President Donald Trump said the attack did not cause U.S. military casualties and that the United States would not use its troops to \"be ready to embrace peace.\" That's a 180-degree turn compared to his previous hardline approach.
On the afternoon of the 9th Beijing time, China's former ambassador to Iran, Hua Liming, gave an in-depth reading of Trump's shifting attitude and the changing situation in the Middle East.
Despite the long-standing conflict between the u.s. and iran, this time the two countries have erupted in such a violent conflict, or because u.s. troops killed iran's top general sulaimani.
Suleimani is the commander of the \"Al-Quds Brigade\" of the elite Iranian forces, with the rank of Major General. Mr. Hua said he was a special figure, with a low official position but a chief mastermind and commander of Iranian policy in the Middle East, posing a great threat to the interests of the United States in the Middle East.
Mr. Hua said the United States had wanted to get rid of Mr. Suleimani long before Mr. Obama was president of the United States. This time, Trump's \"targeted removal\" of Suleimani is arguably the removal of an American confidant.
However, Trump did not think of the extent to which the death of a man of power and prestige, such as Suleimani, would elicit a reaction at home. This could be said to have \"detonated\" anti-American sentiment in Iran and the Middle East.
Tens of thousands of Iranians took to the streets of Tehran on January 6 to pay their respects to senior U.S. military officer Sergei Suleimani. Photo People holding up a photograph of Suleimani at a memorial service.
After Suleimani's body returned to Iran, millions of people poured into the streets to mourn, and Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, wept at his funeral, making it clear he wanted \"tough revenge.\"
Mr. Hua said the United States had absolutely no idea that killing Suleimani was like \"stabbing a horseshive \". \"After seeing the reaction of Iran and the Middle East and the world, I'm looking at Trump a little bit scared and wanting to shrink back,\" he said. Now that the consequences have been created, it is essentially a backward situation for the United States.
On January 4, more than 2,000 people took part in an anti-war rally in downtown San Francisco, condemning U.S. President Donald Trump's order to blow up Iranian general Suleimani and settle international disputes in a peaceful manner. China News Agency Reporter Liu Guan
At the same time, in the United States, there are many people who oppose Trump's actions. After the incident, protests broke out in about 70 cities, and young Americans collapsed on the military service website for fear of being drafted. The latest poll shows 53 percent of U.S. adults disapprove of Trump's handling of Iran.
In 2003, when George W. Bush fought the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, spending trillions of dollars and thousands of Americans dying on the battlefield, it was a nightmare for young Americans, and many felt it was a war for no reason, according to Mr. Hua.
So, as mr obama once said when he was president, the boots of american soldiers would not be trampled on the territory of another country, and america would not send troops overseas. And this time, many fear that the war will be re-involved, and that America's young people will return to the battlefield.
Mr. Trump, in general, has sought to attract votes and raise the odds of his re-election as president by taking pre-emptive action to protect the lives and interests of U.S. diplomatic agencies and U.S. citizens abroad, according to Mr. Hua.
Indeed, the death of Suleimani has shaken the world – oil and gold prices have risen rapidly and US stocks have fallen. Mr. Hua believes that this may have been a surprise to Mr. Trump and an important stimulus for him, and that the next step may be to be more rational.
Mr. Hua further explained that while the U.S. is now largely self-sufficient in oil production and no longer needs to import from the Middle East, the region has pricing power over world oil. Once things change in the Middle East, so will world oil prices.
Americans are so concerned about the price of oil that \"driving to the gas station to refuel, this liter of oil has gone up and Trump's vote has gone,\" something Trump is very reluctant to see.
U.S. ally in the Middle East, Saudi Arabia, has been a hostile relationship with Iran, but Mr. Hua believes Saudi Arabia will never want to see a war between the United States and Iran. Because if there is a massive war, Saudi Arabia is likely to bear the brunt.
Other U.S. allies are also reluctant to see tensions continue to escalate. France's foreign minister said it must stop the \"cycle of violence \", germany's attempts to ease the situation, japan's calls for a diplomatic solution, and nato's announcement of a partial withdrawal.
U.S. President Donald Trump speaks on television at the White House on January 8, local time. Photo A live television broadcast of Trump's televised speech in Times Square, New York. China News Agency Correspondent Liao Pan
The 2015 iraqi nuclear deal was a very important diplomatic achievement for america's allies in europe, according to hualiming's analysis. European countries are keen to return to Iran, the big market, and are keen to improve relations with Iran. But the deal was torn down by Trump.
Moreover, from the second half of 2018, the United States began to impose severe sanctions on Iran, and long-armed jurisdiction, and the United States will impose sanctions if European companies have trade relations with Iran. So America and Europe are also divided on this issue.
There is popular opposition, there is Iran's \"revenge,\" allies do not support, and may even affect the election of the United States presidential election... So it doesn't seem that the US-Iranian conflict has done Trump enough good, and it's no surprise that Trump will shift his attitude and ease the situation. (end)